US SPORTS ARBITRAGE

TENGUTRADE

Capital-efficiency control surface for the narrowed NBA/NHL paper-trading mode. This operator view keeps the red-zone metrics in front: profit per day, profit per tied-up dollar, turnover, and release speed.

Service api | ready=True | started=2026-04-19T07:15:28.843490+00:00

Last success 2026-04-19T08:01:30.481689+00:00

TRADING_MODE=paper ENABLE_LIVE_TRADING=False KillSwitch=False LiveKillSwitch=False

Strategy Focus

Narrowed universe active: True

Event families: NBA, NHL

Opportunity families: neg_risk_equivalent

Minimum strategy score: 85.00

5s/10s persistence floor: 95% / 95%

10s fillability floor: 70%

Live Safety

Live enabled: False

Live mode active: False

Live trading allowed: False

Live config present: False

Guard passed: False

Paper-only safety filters remain in force and the narrowed mode only tightens scope further.

Capital Efficiency Summary

Realized PnL / day
0.0000
Unrealized PnL / day
0.0000
Avg capital tied up
0.0000
Max capital tied up
0.0000
PnL / day / tied-up dollar
0.000000
Capital turnover / day
0.0000
Average hold time
0s
Median hold time
0s
Time to capital release
0s
Capital release rate / day
0.0000
PnL per trade
0.0000
Released / open / recycled
0.0000 / 0.0000 / 0.0000

Best Event Families By Capital Efficiency

Operational default is the focus subset; broader analytics stay available through the JSON endpoints with scope=all.

Family Score Expected PnL / tied $ Expected PnL / day 10s fillability Expected release
No event-family capital-efficiency rows yet.

Best Opportunity Families By Capital Efficiency

Family Score Expected turnover Edge retention Fillability retention Strategy score
No opportunity-family capital-efficiency rows yet.

Hold-Time Metrics

Average hold time 0s

Median hold time 0s

Time to capital release 0s

Checkpoint Capital still tied Ratio
No hold-time checkpoints yet.

Capital Release Metrics

Released capital 0.0000

Still-open capital 0.0000

Recycled capital 0.0000

Release rate 0.0000

Checkpoint Released Still tied
No capital-release curve yet.

Current Narrowed Execution Filters

opportunity_type LIKE 'neg_risk_%' paper_execution_eligible = TRUE detection_class = 'executable' is_inferred = FALSE is_research_only = FALSE event_family IN (NBA, NHL) opportunity_family IN (neg_risk_equivalent) strategy_score >= 85.00 exact_persistence_5s >= 95% exact_persistence_10s >= 95% fillable_rate_10s >= 70%

Paper Execution State

Opportunity status Count
open 25031
rejected_by_risk 3418
detected 1654
expired 241
paper_filled 67
paper_submitted 5
rejected 1

Focused Opportunities

Event Type Edge Status Paper eligible
GTA VI released before June 2026? same_event_complete_yes_basket 655668.16 open False
GTA VI released before June 2026? same_event_complete_yes_basket 614063.90 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 44562.96 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 41735.87 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 41629.93 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 39187.30 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 37547.73 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 37099.16 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 36878.04 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 35386.47 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 35181.10 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 34977.58 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 33793.96 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 33602.72 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 33413.14 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 33038.89 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 33030.36 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 32322.69 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 31953.88 open False
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30) same_event_complete_yes_basket 31778.34 open False

Live Readiness Checks

Check OK Message
mode_disabled_by_default True paper mode remains active by default
live_config_present False live signer/funder env vars are missing
live_config_valid False POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY missing; POLYMARKET_FUNDER missing
schema_ready True live execution tables are present
kill_switches_clear True global and live kill switches are clear
live_risk_headroom True current live exposure is within configured limits
exchange_client_init False Polymarket exchange client preflight failed